27th Congress of International Council of the Aeronautical Sciences, 19 - 24 September 2010, Nice, France
Paper ICAS 2010-5.6.1 INVITED

DEVELOPMENT AND EVALUATION OF TRAJECTORY PREDICTION MODEL

Y. Fukuda, M. Shirakawa, A. Senoguchi
ENRI, Japan

Keywords: trajectory prediction, trajectory management, air traffic management

This paper describes a trajectory prediction model for future ATM (Air Traffic Management). The model predicts trajectories with data of aircraft performance, airline operation, navigation database, and meteorological forecasts. Those trajectories are compared with flight recorded data. The results show aircraft speed information is important to improve time prediction accuracy.

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