27th Congress of International Council of the Aeronautical Sciences, 19 - 24 September 2010, Nice, France
Paper ICAS 2010-10.3.3

ON THE THREE-DIMENSIONAL COLLISION PROBABILITIES RELEVANT TO ATM

L. M. B. C. Campos, J. M. G. Marques*
CCTAE & IST, Portugal; *CCTAE & ULHT, Portugal

Keywords: aircraft separation, safety metrics, collision probabilities

In this paper the maximum probability of coincidence, the cumulative probability of coincidence and the cumulative probability of coincidence integrated over all space are compared with the ICAO TLS. The results are found to be sensitive to the choice of probability distribution. Also several alternative safety metrics are considered.

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