26th Congress of International Council of the Aeronautical Sciences
including the 8th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Conference
14 - 19 September 2008, Anchorage, Alaska, USA
Paper ICAS 2008-9.7.5

A MODEL FOR ESTIMATING THE LATERAL OVERLAP PROBABILITY OF AIRCRAFT WITH RNP ALERTING CAPABILITY IN PARALLEL RNAV ROUTES

S. Nagaoka
ENRI, Japan

Keywords: collision risk, RNP, overlap probability, RNAV

This paper proposes the modeling for the cross track error distribution of the aircraft with RNP alerting capability, which consists of the generalized Laplace distribution and the double exponential distribution. A simple expression for estimating the maximum lateral overlap probability of the aircraft was derived.

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